Showing posts with label Eurozone. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Eurozone. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Should the Federal Reserve Bailout the EuroZone, Euro, and ECB - Can They?

ByLance Winslow

Expert Author Lance Winslow

It is amazing the amount of talk about the European financial fiasco, and how the European Union is doomed in the future. That it may not look the same in 5-years time, and that it will have to shed many of the most socialist nations with run-away debt and poor fiscal policies. Okay so, let's talk about this and let's ponder some of the potential solutions being floated shall we?

There was an interesting article in the UK Telegraph on November 30, 2011 titled; "Should the FED Save Europe from Disaster? - The dam is breaking in Europe. Interbank lending has seized up. Much of the financial system is paralysed, setting off a credit crunch just as Euroland slides back into slumpm" by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.

Okay so, is the Eurozone really a slow motion train wreck? Many believe so, as do I, mainly because I do not see how socialist leaning government can get off their addiction or opium of the masses. Once all those entitlements are promised and put into practice, they are almost impossible to get rid of, regardless of the nation, culture, or historical heritage behind the society.

Will all of Europe become a Greek Tragedy? Well, it certainly could and without funding fast or a lender of last resort big enough to bail out the whole kit and caboodle there simply will not be enough confidence to keep bond investors happy, or allow the interbank lending to flow again. The system is broken, with "systemic" problems, its foundation is rotten and breaking away. Some folks had hoped that China would step up to the plate to help bail out the EU, but that isn't likely to happen.

First, China can't, as it doesn't have enough fire power on its own. Second, it won't because it has its own problems at home. Its foundation is built on half-truths, corruption, and hiding of real financial data from the real estate market to the banking sector. So, suffice it to say that's not going to happen - China needs to save itself.

What about Japan? Japan is in no position with its demographic shift and pension obligations, legacy costs, and already high-debt. Should the FED step in and help the problem? Well, the problem is pretty vast and the ECB and EU leaders already told the FED and the US Treasury where to stick it after the 2008 financial crisis, and wouldn't work together, so they did their thing and we did ours.

Our massive stimulus seemed to put off our problems to another day, and the EU's deliberate move at austerity, well, it didn't work - only added to the problems, and now civil unrest and economic stoppage. The amount of money in "trillions of dollars" to bail out the EU simply isn't in the cards for the US, we can't. It might sound nice to say we support the EuroZone but in the end the inevitable is going to come to pass.

Only the EU can bail itself out, and yes, they'll need support from the rest of the global community, but that's not going to happen unless these crazy thoughts of socialism can leave the room - I don't see that happening with an entitlement crowd, whole populations of nations which feel they deserve something.

What about quantitative easing, what about the ECB becoming like the Federal Reserve, or what about breaking up the EuroZone in various zoning levels like a pyramid chart of Maslow's hierarchy of needs? Sure, all that should be on the table, I just wish they'd get their act together and sooner rather than later. Please consider all this.

Lance Winslow has launched a new provocative series of eBooks on Future Concepts. Lance Winslow is a retired Founder of a Nationwide Franchise Chain, and now runs the Online Think Tank; http://www.worldthinktank.net

Article Source:http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Lance_Winslow

Did you find this article helpful?00Get Involved0 commentsSuggest a topicArticle ToolsPrint this articleDownload a PDFE-mail to a friendEzinePublisherReport this articleCite this articleStay InformedGet notified by email when new articles are added to this category or written by this author.Subscribe to New Article Alerts:

News and Society: Economics
Lance Winslow

Email Address:SubscribeEconomics Article FeedFind More ArticlesSearchRecent ArticlesHow To Solve The Homeless SituationProgressivism Isn't Progress, VIIIHow Secure Is Your "Secure" Job?A True Comparison Of Increasing Debt Between Bush And Obama AdministrationsHow To Compete With ChinaWould Einstein Think Us Insane?What Will Happen If Greece Defaults?A Cluster of (Minor) ErrorsThe US Recovery Is Producing SurprisesA Sigh Of Relief For The Economic Status Of The USSubmitted On November 30, 2011. Viewed 21 times. Word count: 607.

MLA Style Citation:
Winslow, Lance".".30 Nov. 2011EzineArticles.com.26 Jan. 2012 .APA Style Citation:
Winslow, L. (2011, November 30). . Retrieved January 26, 2012, from http://ezinearticles.com/?Should-­the-­Federal-­Reserve-­Bailout-­the-­EuroZone,-­Euro,-­and-­ECB-­-­-­Can-­They?&id=6727382Chicago Style Citation:
Winslow, Lance "." EzineArticles.com. http://ezinearticles.com/?Should-­the-­Federal-­Reserve-­Bailout-­the-­EuroZone,-­Euro,-­and-­ECB-­-­-­Can-­They?&id=6727382EzineArticles.com© 2012 EzineArticles.com
All Rights Reserved Worldwide

About UsFAQContact UsMember BenefitsPrivacy PolicyShopSite MapBlogTrainingVideo ArchiveAdvertisingAffiliatesCartoonsAuthorsSubmit ArticlesMembers LoginPremium MembershipExpert AuthorsEndorsementsEditorial GuidelinesTerms of ServicePublishersFollow UsTerms Of ServiceEzines / Email AlertsManage SubscriptionsEzineArticles RSS

View the Original article

Are the Central Banks Planning a Eurozone Drop-Out?

ByJosh Ferry Woodard

Expert Author Josh Ferry Woodard

The Pound is trading at 1.573 today against the Dollar following yesterday's coordinated action from the US Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, ECB and Swiss National Bank to improve liquidity for banks. The 6 central banks agreed to cut the interest rate on dollar liquidity swap lines by 50 basis points.

Essentially the announcement allows commercial banks to borrow dollars - the staple currency in interbank lending - at a cheaper rate. As a risk aversion technique US Banks charge a deposit in the currency being traded (e.g. UK banks would pay a deposit in Sterling) before they dish out the dollar. The reduction allows commercial banks to borrow money at a rate of 0.56% interest reduced from 1.06%, it is planned to last for 14 months.

The official line on the move is:"The purpose of these actions is to ease strains in financial markets and thereby mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses and so help foster economic activity."

Many investors, financers, and politicians had called for affirmative action and when it came the markets responded with jubilation; the high-yielding commodity currencies such as the South African Rand, Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar shot up rapidly, rising 1.5-3% while the safe haven US Dollar and Japanese Yen were punished for their low interest rates and high security.

The announcement appears to be good news for the global economy, at least in the short term; North American and European share prices rose on average over 4%. Italian bonds dropped and German one-year bunds fell below zero for the first time in history, prompting optimism for France and Spain who sold large numbers of bonds today.

It appears however that cheaper dollar swap lines will help commercial banks, and the announcement did give the market something to react to yesterday, but the fact remains that more is needed in the means of fiscal integration to sure up the Eurozone debt crisis. Spain's 5-year borrowing cost rose to 5.544% today from 4.848% on 3rd November. Spain sold €3.75 billion of bonds but at its highest interest rate in 6 years. Across the board, yesterday's spikes are falling back down; the commodity currencies are still benefitting from the decision, just not as dramatically as they did upon its announcement.

One question being raised by traders is that of ulterior motives; what does this move suggest for the market? The lower interest rates should help prevent credit shortages which is especially pertinent in the case of emergency e.g. If a Eurozone country defaulted, it would make cash more accessible for the banks that were holding the failed state's debt. A positive move then? Yes and No. Of course precaution is to be heralded and the affect of the decision was palpably positive, but at the same time the move could be interpreted as rotten with worry; an ominous clue that policymakers foresee a Eurozone state failure.

The Euro's precarious predicament is not good for the Pound and if the unthinkable happens and a Euro member state defaults, it will be the Dollar that benefits from risk liquidation.

Cutting Edge Current Affairs Courtesy of:
Josh Ferry Woodard

Cutting Edge Current Affairs | Equipping you with the Currency of Culture | Making Foreign Exchange Fun.

Read more on my blog @ Cultural Currency | Current Affairs

Get Expert Advice @ TorFX - Foreign Exchange Specialists

Article Source:http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Josh_Ferry_Woodard

Did you find this article helpful?10Get Involved0 commentsSuggest a topicArticle ToolsPrint this articleE-mail to a friendEzinePublisherReport this articleCite this articleStay InformedGet notified by email when new articles are added to this category or written by this author.Subscribe to New Article Alerts:

News and Society: Economics
Josh Ferry Woodard

Email Address:SubscribeEconomics Article FeedFind More ArticlesSearchSimilar ArticlesChina's Renminbi - Our Currency, Your ProblemCapitalism Under Attack: Petrodollars, Petroeuros and the Iranian Oil BourseThe Ongoing Plight in the EurozoneNine Golden YearsLatest Movements in the Price of GoldA Brief Introduction to Forex Trading BasicsRecent ArticlesHow To Solve The Homeless SituationProgressivism Isn't Progress, VIIIHow Secure Is Your "Secure" Job?A True Comparison Of Increasing Debt Between Bush And Obama AdministrationsHow To Compete With ChinaWould Einstein Think Us Insane?What Will Happen If Greece Defaults?A Cluster of (Minor) ErrorsThe US Recovery Is Producing SurprisesA Sigh Of Relief For The Economic Status Of The USSubmitted On December 01, 2011. Viewed 6 times. Word count: 547.

MLA Style Citation:
Woodard, Josh F.".".1 Dec. 2011EzineArticles.com.26 Jan. 2012 .APA Style Citation:
Woodard, J. F. (2011, December 1). . Retrieved January 26, 2012, from http://ezinearticles.com/?Are-­the-­Central-­Banks-­Planning-­a-­Eurozone-­Drop-­Out?&id=6728569Chicago Style Citation:
Woodard, Josh F. "." EzineArticles.com. http://ezinearticles.com/?Are-­the-­Central-­Banks-­Planning-­a-­Eurozone-­Drop-­Out?&id=6728569EzineArticles.com© 2012 EzineArticles.com
All Rights Reserved Worldwide

About UsFAQContact UsMember BenefitsPrivacy PolicyShopSite MapBlogTrainingVideo ArchiveAdvertisingAffiliatesCartoonsAuthorsSubmit ArticlesMembers LoginPremium MembershipExpert AuthorsEndorsementsEditorial GuidelinesTerms of ServicePublishersFollow UsTerms Of ServiceEzines / Email AlertsManage SubscriptionsEzineArticles RSS

View the Original article